Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.045732 0.053425 0.061884 0.071856 0.083273 0.095914 0.110953
2025-02-16 0.032453 0.042099 0.053722 0.068685 0.087355 0.109796 0.138716
2025-02-23 0.023726 0.033844 0.047080 0.065497 0.090266 0.122201 0.166230
2025-03-02 0.018092 0.028140 0.042298 0.063410 0.093734 0.135282 0.195973
2025-03-09 0.014720 0.024753 0.039858 0.063802 0.100221 0.152801 0.233489
2025-03-16 0.011629 0.021072 0.036211 0.061627 0.102396 0.164157 0.263281
2025-03-23 0.010245 0.019812 0.036013 0.064581 0.112521 0.188142 0.314142
2025-03-30 0.008716 0.017965 0.034480 0.065012 0.118504 0.206174 0.357478
2025-04-06 0.007205 0.015821 0.032029 0.063412 0.120733 0.218193 0.392132
2025-04-13 0.006044 0.014101 0.030028 0.062241 0.123415 0.231033 0.429139
2025-04-20 0.005554 0.013652 0.030355 0.065413 0.134213 0.258757 0.494009
2025-04-27 0.005070 0.013115 0.030406 0.068013 0.144174 0.285837 0.560036
2025-05-04 0.004205 0.011547 0.028104 0.065631 0.144423 0.295596 0.596428
2025-05-11 0.003607 0.010483 0.026708 0.064931 0.147920 0.311770 0.646240
2025-05-18 0.003026 0.009325 0.024892 0.063030 0.148679 0.322702 0.687068
2025-05-25 0.002567 0.008375 0.023390 0.061588 0.150192 0.335195 0.731968
2025-06-01 0.002286 0.007853 0.022839 0.062270 0.156395 0.357711 0.798682
2025-06-08 0.001925 0.007003 0.021291 0.060294 0.156335 0.367145 0.839489
2025-06-15 0.001814 0.006897 0.021701 0.063271 0.168095 0.402773 0.937708
2025-06-22 0.001620 0.006476 0.021169 0.063737 0.173920 0.425986 1.011428
2025-06-29 0.001387 0.005856 0.019951 0.062187 0.174628 0.437875 1.061618
2025-07-06 0.001200 0.005341 0.018942 0.061047 0.176205 0.451830 1.117430
2025-07-13 0.001145 0.005311 0.019416 0.064170 0.189069 0.492982 1.237348